Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.001734 0.001846 0.001963 0.002093 0.002234 0.002381 0.002549
2025-01-26 0.001509 0.001661 0.001824 0.002014 0.002229 0.002465 0.002745
2025-02-02 0.001432 0.001617 0.001822 0.002069 0.002358 0.002688 0.003096
2025-02-09 0.001364 0.001573 0.001811 0.002104 0.002458 0.002876 0.003409
2025-02-16 0.001339 0.001573 0.001846 0.002192 0.002620 0.003140 0.003825
2025-02-23 0.001275 0.001521 0.001814 0.002191 0.002671 0.003266 0.004073
2025-03-02 0.001189 0.001436 0.001735 0.002127 0.002634 0.003277 0.004170
2025-03-09 0.001123 0.001371 0.001677 0.002084 0.002621 0.003315 0.004298
2025-03-16 0.001080 0.001334 0.001651 0.002080 0.002655 0.003414 0.004513
2025-03-23 0.001033 0.001288 0.001611 0.002055 0.002659 0.003471 0.004670
2025-03-30 0.000994 0.001253 0.001583 0.002042 0.002679 0.003547 0.004858
2025-04-06 0.000953 0.001211 0.001544 0.002014 0.002673 0.003588 0.004993
2025-04-13 0.000914 0.001173 0.001513 0.001999 0.002694 0.003677 0.005222
2025-04-20 0.000854 0.001106 0.001439 0.001922 0.002623 0.003630 0.005244
2025-04-27 0.000843 0.001105 0.001456 0.001973 0.002738 0.003863 0.005714
2025-05-04 0.000827 0.001095 0.001460 0.002006 0.002828 0.004063 0.006146
2025-05-11 0.000829 0.001110 0.001498 0.002089 0.002997 0.004392 0.006814
2025-05-18 0.000804 0.001086 0.001480 0.002088 0.003037 0.004521 0.007156
2025-05-25 0.000763 0.001038 0.001425 0.002028 0.002979 0.004489 0.007216
2025-06-01 0.000731 0.001001 0.001384 0.001987 0.002951 0.004504 0.007359
2025-06-08 0.000711 0.000980 0.001367 0.001983 0.002981 0.004615 0.007681
2025-06-15 0.000687 0.000953 0.001339 0.001960 0.002978 0.004669 0.007902
2025-06-22 0.000667 0.000932 0.001319 0.001948 0.002993 0.004755 0.008188